The Wonderland of Climate Models


A lecture by Dr. Chris Essex, Professor of Applied Mathematics at Univ. Western Ontario, and former director of its theoretical physics program. From “Doctors for Disaster Preparedness” 29th Annual Meeting, Albuquerque, NM, July 2011.

The Consensus Position

“In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

Source: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Third Assessment Report (2001), Section 14.2.2.2, page 774. Read online version here.

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